Thursday 22 December 2016

SARFAESI Act - Totentanz for Article 370

Supreme Court recently gave a judgement over applicability of SARFAESI Act in Jammu and Kashmir and Hurriyat is planning to start a protest over this. Well, may be, it won’t because of the double whammy of demonetisation and support of lawyers who will be staring at contempt of court. Let’s see how the things play out.
As to the issue in hand, SARFAESI act, passed in 2002 gives the banks right to seize the property of a loan defaulter and dispose it off in manner it feels fit through a dedicated tribunal. The background of the noise created is this - SBI moved to seize the property of a few defaulters in Jammu and they moved to the High Court stating that, SBI, being originated outside J&K, doesn’t have any right to hold property in J&K and that the notice issued should be trashed. Basically, what they said was, I will take a loan against a surety, I won’t pay the loans and I won’t let you have my property. In such a case, why would any bank be interested in giving loans in J&K? J&K High Court upheld the petitioner’s view that SBI can’t own any land in J&K and hence, can’t seize the land. It also said, the bank can approach to the problem using existing laws. 
SBI, naturally, went to Supreme Court. Well, Supreme Court royally trashed the High Court judgement. Some of them may be sourced from older judgements, but below is the main crux of what Supreme Court said - 
  1. J&K is an inalienable part of India and J&K Constitution is subordinate to Indian Constitution, not equal. J&K doesn’t have any sovereignty whatsoever.
  2. Any laws passed by Centre, if it clash with state government laws, the state government law will have to give way
  3. Anything which is not in the state list of J&K in Article 370 becomes the property of Central Government. Traditional view held is that anything which is in Centre’s list will become the property of state and that anything passed by Indian Parliament will have to be ratified by J&K Assembly.
Obviously, this will rankle Kashmiri separatists. It looks like, to mollify them, J&K government came up with a proposal to create an entity which handles loan defaults which will contain J&K Bank as the major shareholder. This makes the entity a J&K based one and it can seize the property in place of non J&K banks. How much support will centre give to such an entity, I seriously don’t know.
Now, look at the scenario. There is a defaulter and the bank seizes his property. As far as I understand, according to the act, it should be sold only to a person in J&K. This raises two questions -
  1. If there is no buyer ready to buy, what will the bank do? Can it say, since no person in J&K is ready to buy, I will sell it to an outsider? May be, the act, now, says the buyer should be a J&K resident only. What will stop the Parliament to modify it to open the property to the whole country?
  2. After all, a bank like SBI is a wing of Central Government. Can the bank transfer property to Central Government? Now, what happens if Central Government maintains a huge list of properties in J&K, mainly in the Valley and pump in Kashmiri Pundits which these separatists opposed tooth and nail?
Can these separatists accept either of these? Another interesting side effect of this judgement is that property ownership in J&K is cut down by loan defaults. Similar unrelated laws can be used by the central government to make Article 370 completely meaningless. May be, that’s from the geopolitical aspect, but the ground reality is that with banks having an option to address loan defaults, the incidence of loans in J&K will increase, and along with it, entrepreneurship and job creation potential.

Friday 16 December 2016

Bidi-Cigarette Divide as an Economic Indicator

I was going through an old article in Hindu over the statistics of liquor consumption and smoking in India. The data can be used directly to gauge the economic standing of every state in the country. I won't give much weight to liquor because toddy and mahua are not just a mode of inebriation, but are cultural aspects in areas like Telangana, Orissa or Chattisgarh. However, this data points to one aspect - more rural life and non availability of change. Looking at the comparision between bidis and cigarettes, this is more pronounced. Unlike liquor which is more to do with cultural background, this is an indication of poverty, backwardness and availability. As like always, we see that BIMARU states lead the bidi smoking India. If this is the real scenario, massive investment in correction of the way of life in those states is the only way of forward to take India forward.

Consumption per capita per week   Toddy &
Country Lqr (ml)
  Beer, Foreign Lqr &
Wine (ml)
  %Quality Liquor   Bidi (Nos)   Cigarette (Nos)   %Cigarette
Gujarat   53   3   5.36%   24.1   0.2   0.82%
Rajasthan   80   43   34.96%   49.8   0.7   1.39%
Uttar Pradesh   34   5   12.82%   26.1   0.4   1.51%
Haryana   89   43   32.58%   40.4   0.8   1.94%
Dadra & Nagar Haveli   2,533   498   16.43%   29.5   0.6   1.99%
Madhya Pradesh   133   12   8.28%   31.8   0.7   2.15%
Chhattisgarh   120   27   18.37%   9.6   0.3   3.03%
Uttarakahnd   38   43   53.09%   40.6   1.4   3.33%
Punjab   141   50   26.18%   14.5   0.5   3.33%
Tripura   163   2   1.21%   80.8   2.9   3.46%
Chandigarh   37   42   53.16%   22.5   0.9   3.85%
Himachal Pradesh   149   73   32.88%   42.9   2.3   5.09%
Daman & Diu   252   1,079   81.07%   4.3   0.3   6.52%
West Bengal   74   12   13.95%   41.4   3.2   7.17%
Odisha   146   20   12.05%   6   0.5   7.69%
Karnakata   23   102   81.60%   21.1   2   8.66%
Bihar   266   17   6.01%   2.6   0.3   10.34%
Assam   304   19   5.88%   11.8   1.6   11.94%
Delhi   55   86   60.99%   11.9   1.7   12.50%
Maharashtra   65   19   22.62%   4.7   0.7   12.96%
Tamil Nadu   20   85   80.95%   12.3   2   13.99%
Andhra Pradesh   561   104   15.64%   16.5   4.4   21.05%
Andaman & Nicobar Island   656   532   44.78%   12.1   3.3   21.43%
Meghalaya   74   49   39.84%   28   8.2   22.65%
Jammu & Kashmir   32   7   17.95%   14.3   4.7   24.74%
Nagaland   159   23   12.64%   12.7   4.2   24.85%
Arunachal Pradesh   749   346   31.60%   6   2   25.00%
Manipur   155   6   3.73%   10.5   3.8   26.57%
Sikkim   41   307   88.22%   5.3   2.3   30.26%
Jharkhand   320   14   4.19%   1.2   0.6   33.33%
Puducherry   154   144   48.32%   5.1   3   37.04%
Kerala   94   102   52.04%   8.9   6.4   41.83%
Lakshadweep   0   0   0.00%   9.9   8.3   45.60%
Goa   47   108   69.68%   1.4   1.9   57.58%
Mizoram   29   2   6.45%   9.8   28.8   74.61%